← Board/player transfer · updated 04 Sept 2026· graded confirmed
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
Everton → Newcastle United
100%Done / awaiting official
Probability
100%
Viability
54%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability65 → 100|Viability54 → 5404 Sept 2026
Window close: a completed transfer confirms this move. Graded confirmed.
Score movement
- 04 Sept 202665 → 100Window close: a completed transfer confirms this move. Graded confirmed.
- 06 Aug 202662 → 65An agreement is reported to be close · Multiple independent sources agree
- 31 Jul 202663 → 62An agreement is reported to be close · Multiple independent sources agree
- 28 Jul 202658 → 63An agreement is reported to be close · Multiple independent sources agree
- 28 Jul 202653 → 58An agreement is reported to be close
- 22 Jul 2026— → 53An agreement is reported to be close
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+24 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+8 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability65%
Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CM, CAM
- Age
- 27
- Nationality
- United Kingdom
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2030
- Market value
- €35m
- Preferred foot
- left
Buying club · Newcastle United
- Stated needs
- RW, CB
- Budget (est.)
- €80m
- Wage headroom
- 50/100
- PSR pressure
- 75/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Newcastle United’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 22 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Newcastle closing in on Liverpool forward Kiernan
- 28 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Newcastle sign Liverpool forward Kiernan
- 28 Jul 2026Tier 4Liverpool FCpolled
Leanne Kiernan completes permanent move to Newcastle United