← Board/player transfer · updated 26 Jul 2026
Vinícius Júnior
Real Madrid → Tottenham Hotspur
Why this score?
Probability— → 20|Viability— → 7226 Jul 2026
- ▪This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
- ▪The player is entering the final window of their contract
- ▪The player is being pursued by more than one club
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 26 Jul 2026— → 20This fills a stated squad need of the buying club · The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club
How the number is built
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- ST, LW, CM
- Age
- 26
- Nationality
- Spain
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2027
- Market value
- €180m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Tottenham Hotspur
- Stated needs
- CM, CB
- Budget (est.)
- €110m
- Wage headroom
- 60/100
- PSR pressure
- 30/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Tottenham Hotspur’s Possible XI →Competing for Vinícius Júnior
The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.
- Tottenham Hotspur this rumour20%
- Arsenaladvanced38%
- Liverpoolactive talks15%
Evidence timeline
- 26 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Arsenal news: Real Madrid's stance on selling Vinicius Jr as shock Tottenham deal emerges - The Mirror