← Board/player transfer · updated 23 Jul 2026

Manu Koné

Roma Manchester United

33%Possible
Probability
33%
Viability
59%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability33|Viability5921 Jul 2026

  • The player is being pursued by more than one club

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 21 Jul 202633The player is being pursued by more than one club

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+6 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+6 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations9 pts
Probability33%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
CM
Age
25
Nationality
France
Contract until
30 Jun 2029
Market value
€50m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Manchester United

Stated needs
CDM, ST, CB
Budget (est.)
€90m
Wage headroom
45/100
PSR pressure
65/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Manchester United’s Possible XI →

Competing for Manu Koné

The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.

Evidence timeline

  1. 21 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Man Utd ahead of Arsenal in Manu Kone race after opening transfer talks for £51m star - The Mirror

    talks · active talkstone: assertivevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource
  2. 23 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Transfer news LIVE: Liverpool £100m move, Manu Kone to Man Utd, Aurelien Tchouameni update - The Mirror

    interest · early interesttone: speculativevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource