← Board/contract extension · updated 20 Jul 2026

Aaron Long

LAFC Liverpool

44%Active interest
Probability
44%
Viability
74%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low

Why this score?

Probability44|Viability7418 Jul 2026

  • This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
  • The player's preference is reported to favour the move

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 18 Jul 202644This fills a stated squad need of the buying club · The player's preference is reported to favour the move

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+1 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+7 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+6 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability44%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
CB
Age
33
Nationality
United States
Contract until
31 Dec 2027
Market value
€1m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Liverpool

Stated needs
CB, ST
Budget (est.)
€130m
Wage headroom
70/100
PSR pressure
25/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Liverpool’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 17 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Dominik Szoboszlai signs new long-term Liverpool contract - Liverpool Echo

    monitoring · speculativetone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source
  2. 17 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Dominik Szoboszlai signs new long-term Liverpool contract - Liverpool FC

    monitoring · speculativetone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source