← Board/player transfer · updated 13 Oct 2026
Morgan Rogers
Chelsea → Liverpool
0%Speculative
Probability
0%
Viability
44%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability— → 0|Viability— → 4413 Oct 2026
- ▪A financial / feasibility blocker was detected
- ▪The player only joined this club in the current window, so a speculative link away is discounted
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 13 Oct 2026— → 0A financial / feasibility blocker was detected · The player only joined this club in the current window, so a speculative link away is discounted
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+1 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+4 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Impossibility penalty−25 pts
Probability0%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CAM, CM
- Age
- 24
- Nationality
- United Kingdom
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2031
- Market value
- €70m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Liverpool
- Stated needs
- CB, ST
- Budget (est.)
- €130m
- Wage headroom
- 70/100
- PSR pressure
- 25/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Liverpool’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 13 Oct 2026Tier 4TEAMtalkpolled
Liverpool recruitment model draws serious £364m failure accusations as insider reveals Morgan Rogers mistake