← Board/player transfer · updated 19 Jul 2026

Rayan

Bournemouth Liverpool

44%Active interest
Probability
44%
Viability
67%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low

Why this score?

Probability44|Viability6719 Jul 2026

  • This fills a stated squad need of the buying club

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 19 Jul 202644This fills a stated squad need of the buying club

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+7 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability44%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
RW, ST
Age
19
Nationality
Brazil
Contract until
30 Jun 2031
Market value
€60m
Preferred foot
left

Buying club · Liverpool

Stated needs
CB, ST
Budget (est.)
€130m
Wage headroom
70/100
PSR pressure
25/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Liverpool’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 19 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Liverpool transfer for Rayan 'a big thing' as Alan Shearer makes 'pretty awful' claim - Liverpool Echo

    interest · early interesttone: speculativevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource
Rayan to Liverpool — 44% likely · TransferSignal