← Board/player transfer · updated 03 Aug 2026
Savinho
Manchester City → Liverpool
35%Possible
Probability
35%
Viability
67%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low
Why this score?
Probability— → 35|Viability— → 6703 Aug 2026
- ▪This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
- ▪The player is being pursued by more than one club
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 03 Aug 2026— → 35This fills a stated squad need of the buying club · The player is being pursued by more than one club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+7 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations−9 pts
Probability35%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- RW, LW, ST
- Age
- 22
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2031
- Market value
- €45m
- Preferred foot
- left
Buying club · Liverpool
- Stated needs
- CB, ST
- Budget (est.)
- €130m
- Wage headroom
- 70/100
- PSR pressure
- 25/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Liverpool’s Possible XI →Competing for Savinho
The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.
- Liverpool this rumour35%
- Tottenham Hotspurearly interest42%
Evidence timeline
- 03 Aug 2026Tier 4London Evening Standardpolled
Spurs target Gakpo amid Savinho chase as Liverpool stance made clear