← Board/player transfer · updated 23 Aug 2026· graded collapsed
Thomas Partey
Villarreal → Newcastle United
0%Speculative
Probability
0%
Viability
61%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability67 → 0|Viability61 → 6123 Aug 2026
Outcome graded: collapsed. 2 source prediction(s) written to the reliability ledger.
Score movement
- 23 Aug 202667 → 0Outcome graded: collapsed. 2 source prediction(s) written to the reliability ledger.
- 06 Aug 202662 → 67An agreement is reported to be close · Multiple independent sources agree · The player is entering the final window of their contract
- 30 Jul 202658 → 62An agreement is reported to be close · Multiple independent sources agree · The player is entering the final window of their contract
- 29 Jul 2026— → 58An agreement is reported to be close · The player is entering the final window of their contract
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+24 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+8 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability67%
Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CDM, CM
- Age
- 33
- Nationality
- Ghana
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2026
- Market value
- €2m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Newcastle United
- Stated needs
- RW, CB
- Budget (est.)
- €80m
- Wage headroom
- 50/100
- PSR pressure
- 75/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Newcastle United’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 29 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Newcastle sign Spurs forward Thomas
- 29 Jul 2026Tier 4Cartilage Free Captainpolled
DONE DEAL: Martha Thomas to leave Spurs Women permanent transfer to Newcastle