← Board/player transfer · updated 05 Aug 2026

Ezri Konsa

Aston Villa Arsenal

38%Possible
Probability
38%
Viability
66%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low

Why this score?

Probability38|Viability6605 Aug 2026

Rumour created from first claim

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 05 Aug 202638Rumour created from first claim

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+1 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+8 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability38%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
CB, RB
Age
28
Nationality
United Kingdom
Contract until
30 Jun 2028
Market value
€35m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Arsenal

Stated needs
ST, CF, CDM
Budget (est.)
€120m
Wage headroom
65/100
PSR pressure
35/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Arsenal’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 05 Aug 2026Tier 4This Is Anfieldpolled

    LFC named as Arsenal’s possible competition for £60m Konsa

    monitoring · speculativetone: speculativevia rule-based:v1source