← Board/player transfer · updated 29 Jul 2026
Ashleigh Neville
Leicester City → Charlton Athletic
61%Advanced
Probability
61%
Viability
62%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability62 → 61|Viability62 → 6229 Jul 2026
- ▪An agreement is reported to be close
- ▪The player's preference is reported to favour the move
Score movement
- 29 Jul 202662 → 61An agreement is reported to be close · The player's preference is reported to favour the move
- 29 Jul 2026— → 62An agreement is reported to be close · The player's preference is reported to favour the move
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+21 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+6 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+6 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability61%
Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
Player not resolved to a known squad — scored on reporting signals only.
Buying club
Buying club not resolved.
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
Evidence timeline
- 29 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Charlton Athletic sign Leicester's Neville
- 29 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Neville joins Charlton as Leicester sign Irish duo