← Board/player transfer · updated 27 Jul 2026
Danny Welbeck
Brighton & Hove Albion → Chelsea
60%Active interest
Probability
60%
Viability
69%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability56 → 60|Viability69 → 6927 Jul 2026
- ▪Multiple independent sources agree
- ▪This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
- ▪The player is entering the final window of their contract
Score movement
- 27 Jul 202656 → 60Multiple independent sources agree · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club · The player is entering the final window of their contract
- 27 Jul 2026— → 56This fills a stated squad need of the buying club · The player is entering the final window of their contract
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+22 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+8 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+6 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability60%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- ST
- Age
- 35
- Nationality
- United Kingdom
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2027
- Market value
- €4m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Chelsea
- Stated needs
- ST, GK
- Budget (est.)
- €100m
- Wage headroom
- 55/100
- PSR pressure
- 70/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Chelsea’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 27 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Chelsea targeting shock move for 35-year-old Brighton star Danny Welbeck - The Sun
- 27 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Chelsea open talks to sign Brighton striker Welbeck