← Board/player transfer · updated 31 Jul 2026
Kaishu Sano
1. FSV Mainz 05 → Liverpool
39%Possible
Probability
39%
Viability
63%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low
Why this score?
Probability— → 39|Viability— → 6331 Jul 2026
Rumour created from first claim
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 31 Jul 2026— → 39Rumour created from first claim
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+7 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability39%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CDM, CM
- Age
- 25
- Nationality
- Japan
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2028
- Market value
- €25m
- Preferred foot
- both
Buying club · Liverpool
- Stated needs
- CB, ST
- Budget (est.)
- €130m
- Wage headroom
- 70/100
- PSR pressure
- 25/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Liverpool’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 31 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Kaishu Sano transfer stance as sporting director speaks out on Liverpool links - Liverpool Echo