← Board/player transfer · updated 24 Jul 2026

Conor Bradley

Liverpool Arsenal

39%Possible
Probability
39%
Viability
59%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability39|Viability5920 Jul 2026

Rumour created from first claim

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 20 Jul 202639Rumour created from first claim

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+6 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability39%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
RB, CB
Age
23
Nationality
United Kingdom
Contract until
30 Jun 2029
Market value
€30m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Arsenal

Stated needs
ST, CF, CDM
Budget (est.)
€120m
Wage headroom
65/100
PSR pressure
35/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Arsenal’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 20 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Arsenal: Vinicius Jr, Bradley Barcola and Yan Diomande on new list of targets - Football365

    interest · early interesttone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source
  2. 23 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Arsenal transfer rumours: Alex Scott, Martin Odegaard, Bradley Bradley - BBC

    monitoring · speculativetone: speculativevia rule-based:v1source