← Board/player transfer · updated 28 Jul 2026
Francisco Conceição
Juventus → Manchester United
52%Active interest
Probability
52%
Viability
66%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability— → 52|Viability— → 6628 Jul 2026
- ▪This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 28 Jul 2026— → 52This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+19 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+6 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability52%
Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- RW, ST
- Age
- 23
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2030
- Market value
- €30m
- Preferred foot
- left
Buying club · Manchester United
- Stated needs
- CDM, ST, CB
- Budget (est.)
- €90m
- Wage headroom
- 45/100
- PSR pressure
- 65/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Manchester United’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 28 Jul 2026Tier 2The Guardianpolled
Football transfer rumours: Manchester United to sign Juve’s Francisco Conceição?