← Board/player transfer · updated 30 Jul 2026
Jack Grealish
Manchester City → Al Hilal
35%Possible
Probability
35%
Viability
62%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability— → 35|Viability— → 6230 Jul 2026
- ▪The player is entering the final window of their contract
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 30 Jul 2026— → 35The player is entering the final window of their contract
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+1 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability35%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- LW, RW, CAM, ST
- Age
- 30
- Nationality
- United Kingdom
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2027
- Market value
- €25m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Al Hilal
- Stated needs
- —
- Budget (est.)
- —
- Wage headroom
- —
- PSR pressure
- —
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Al Hilal’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 30 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Football transfer rumours: Jack Grealish to make Saudi switch to Al-Hilal? - The Guardian