← Board/player transfer · updated 02 Aug 2026
Benjamin Šeško
Manchester United → Bayern Munich
48%Active interest
Probability
48%
Viability
60%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
92
expert opinion · best role ST
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability— → 48|Viability— → 6002 Aug 2026
Rumour created from first claim
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 02 Aug 2026— → 48Rumour created from first claim
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+22 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability48%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- ST
- Age
- 23
- Nationality
- Slovenia
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2030
- Market value
- €50m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Bayern Munich
- Stated needs
- —
- Budget (est.)
- —
- Wage headroom
- —
- PSR pressure
- —
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Bayern Munich’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 02 Aug 2026Tier 2Transfermarktpolled
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