← Board/player transfer · updated 01 Aug 2026
Bernardo Silva
Real Madrid → Bournemouth
58%Active interest
Probability
58%
Viability
62%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability— → 58|Viability— → 6201 Aug 2026
- ▪An agreement is reported to be close
- ▪The player is entering the final window of their contract
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 01 Aug 2026— → 58An agreement is reported to be close · The player is entering the final window of their contract
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+21 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability58%
Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CAM, RW, CM
- Age
- 31
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2026
- Market value
- €40m
- Preferred foot
- —
Buying club · Bournemouth
- Stated needs
- —
- Budget (est.)
- —
- Wage headroom
- —
- PSR pressure
- —
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Bournemouth’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 01 Aug 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Bournemouth sign Portugal defender Silva