← Board/player transfer · updated 18 Sept 2026
Declan Rice
Arsenal → Liverpool
22%Possible
Probability
22%
Viability
62%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low
Why this score?
Probability— → 22|Viability— → 6218 Sept 2026
Rumour created from first claim
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 18 Sept 2026— → 22Rumour created from first claim
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+1 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+8 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+4 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability22%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CM, CDM
- Age
- 27
- Nationality
- United Kingdom
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2028
- Market value
- €120m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Liverpool
- Stated needs
- CB, ST
- Budget (est.)
- €130m
- Wage headroom
- 70/100
- PSR pressure
- 25/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Liverpool’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 18 Sept 2026Tier 4AnfieldWatchpolled
Liverpool ready to sign the next Declan Rice for £30m