← Board/player transfer · updated 14 Jul 2026
Curtis Jones
Liverpool → Nottingham Forest
26%Possible
Probability
26%
Viability
62%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability35 → 26|Viability62 → 6214 Jul 2026
- ▪The player is entering the final window of their contract
- ▪The player is being pursued by more than one club
Score movement
- 14 Jul 202635 → 26The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 04 Jul 2026— → 35The player is entering the final window of their contract
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+1 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations−9 pts
Probability26%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CM, CAM
- Age
- 25
- Nationality
- United Kingdom
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2027
- Market value
- €40m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Nottingham Forest
- Stated needs
- —
- Budget (est.)
- —
- Wage headroom
- —
- PSR pressure
- —
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Nottingham Forest’s Possible XI →Competing for Curtis Jones
The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.
- Nottingham Forest this rumour26%
- Inter Milanearly interest32%
Evidence timeline
- 01 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Liverpool Transfer News: Curtis Jones makes Nottingham Forest decision following £116m midfielder deal - Anfield Watch