← Board/player transfer · updated 28 Jul 2026

Giorgio Scalvini

Atalanta Newcastle United

42%Active interest
Probability
42%
Viability
64%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability42|Viability6428 Jul 2026

  • This fills a stated squad need of the buying club

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 28 Jul 202642This fills a stated squad need of the buying club

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability42%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
CB
Age
22
Nationality
Italy
Contract until
30 Jun 2028
Market value
€45m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Newcastle United

Stated needs
RW, CB
Budget (est.)
€80m
Wage headroom
50/100
PSR pressure
75/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Newcastle United’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 28 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Scalvini sale possible as Atalanta entertain Newcastle United interest - Get Italian Football News

    interest · early interesttone: speculativevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource