← Board/player transfer · updated 11 Oct 2026
Nick Pope
Newcastle United → Bayern Munich
32%Possible
Probability
32%
Viability
57%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability22 → 32|Viability57 → 5711 Oct 2026
- ▪Multiple independent sources agree
- ▪The player is entering the final window of their contract
Score movement
- 11 Oct 202622 → 32Multiple independent sources agree · The player is entering the final window of their contract
- 09 Oct 2026— → 22The player is entering the final window of their contract
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+17 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+8 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability32%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- GK
- Age
- 34
- Nationality
- United Kingdom
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2027
- Market value
- €5m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Bayern Munich
- Stated needs
- —
- Budget (est.)
- —
- Wage headroom
- —
- PSR pressure
- —
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Bayern Munich’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 09 Oct 2026Tier 4Football365polled
Bayern Munich reach decision on signing Nick Pope from Newcastle
- 11 Oct 2026Tier 3Chronicle Livepolled
I played with Nick Pope - this is how he will be feeling at Newcastle amid Bayern Munich interest