← Board/player transfer · updated 06 Aug 2026

Luiz Felipe Ramos Marchi

Rayo Vallecano Liverpool

62%Advanced
Probability
62%
Viability
69%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low

Why this score?

Probability62|Viability6906 Aug 2026

  • An agreement is reported to be close
  • This fills a stated squad need of the buying club

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 06 Aug 202662An agreement is reported to be close · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+21 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+12 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+7 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability62%

Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
CB
Age
29
Nationality
Italy
Contract until
Market value
Preferred foot

Buying club · Liverpool

Stated needs
CB, ST
Budget (est.)
€130m
Wage headroom
70/100
PSR pressure
25/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Liverpool’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 06 Aug 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled

    Liverpool sign Spanish midfielder Ramos

    official · near completetone: definitivevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource
    • visa approval
    • international clearance
Luiz Felipe Ramos Marchi to Liverpool — 62% likely · TransferSignal