← Board/player transfer · updated 01 Aug 2026

Myles Lewis-Skelly

Arsenal Manchester United

53%Active interest
Probability
53%
Viability
62%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability53|Viability6201 Aug 2026

  • This fills a stated squad need of the buying club

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 01 Aug 202653This fills a stated squad need of the buying club

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+22 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability53%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
LB, CM, CB
Age
18
Nationality
England
Contract until
30 Jun 2030
Market value
€40m
Preferred foot
left

Buying club · Manchester United

Stated needs
CDM, ST, CB
Budget (est.)
€90m
Wage headroom
45/100
PSR pressure
65/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Manchester United’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 01 Aug 2026Tier 2Sky Sportspolled

    Myles Lewis-Skelly transfer news: Man Utd considering move for Arsenal player - Paper Talk

    interest · early interesttone: speculativevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource