← Board/player transfer · updated 25 Jul 2026
Abdoulaye Bamba
Angers SCO → Liverpool
29%Possible
Probability
29%
Viability
78%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low
Why this score?
Probability33 → 29|Viability78 → 7825 Jul 2026
- ▪An agreement is reported to be close
- ▪This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
- ▪The player is entering the final window of their contract
- ▪The player is being pursued by more than one club
Score movement
- 25 Jul 202633 → 29An agreement is reported to be close · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club · The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 24 Jul 2026— → 33An agreement is reported to be close · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club · The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+8 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations−27 pts
Probability29%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CB
- Age
- 36
- Nationality
- Cote d'Ivoire
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2026
- Market value
- €0m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Liverpool
- Stated needs
- CB, ST
- Budget (est.)
- €130m
- Wage headroom
- 70/100
- PSR pressure
- 25/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Liverpool’s Possible XI →Competing for Abdoulaye Bamba
The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.
- Liverpool this rumour29%
- Newcastle Unitedofficial27%
Evidence timeline
- 23 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Transfer news LIVE: Liverpool £100m move, Manu Kone to Man Utd, Aladji Bamba done deal - The Mirror