TransferSignal

← Board/player transfer · updated 26 Oct 2026

Matty Cash

Aston Villa → Newcastle United

49%Active interest
Probability
49%
Viability
56%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability53 → 49|Viability61 → 5626 Oct 2026

  • ▪An agreement is reported to be close
  • ▪This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
  • ▪The player is being pursued by more than one club

Score movement

  1. 26 Oct 202653 → 49An agreement is reported to be close · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club · The player is being pursued by more than one club
  2. 04 Sept 202653 → 53Window closed with no completed deal on record for this player. Expired, not graded — no completed transfer exists either way, and our data has coverage gaps, so no source's accuracy is moved on an ambiguity.
  3. 24 Aug 202658 → 53An agreement is reported to be close · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club · The player is being pursued by more than one club
  4. 06 Aug 202656 → 58An agreement is reported to be close · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
  5. 31 Jul 202650 → 56An agreement is reported to be close · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
  6. 18 Jul 2026— → 50An agreement is reported to be close · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+17 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+12 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Competing destinations−5 pts
Probability49%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
RB, CB
Age
29
Nationality
Poland
Contract until
30 Jun 2029
Market value
€22m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Newcastle United

Stated needs
RW, CB
Budget (est.)
€80m
Wage headroom
50/100
PSR pressure
75/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Newcastle United’s Possible XI →

Competing for Matty Cash

The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.

Evidence timeline

  1. 11 Jul 2026Tier 3Chronicle Livepolled

    Newcastle United's £115m cash injection gets PIF green light as gloom lifted at Benton

    agreement close · near completetone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source
  2. 24 Oct 2026Tier 3Chronicle Livepolled

    PIF make Newcastle United cash injection as ownership make fresh commitment after £1bn sale talk

    monitoring · speculativetone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source