← Board/player transfer · updated 18 Jul 2026

Matty Cash

Aston Villa Newcastle United

50%Active interest
Probability
50%
Viability
61%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability50|Viability6118 Jul 2026

  • An agreement is reported to be close
  • This fills a stated squad need of the buying club

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 18 Jul 202650An agreement is reported to be close · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+12 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability50%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
RB, CB
Age
28
Nationality
Poland
Contract until
30 Jun 2029
Market value
€22m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Newcastle United

Stated needs
RW, CB
Budget (est.)
€80m
Wage headroom
50/100
PSR pressure
75/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Newcastle United’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 11 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Newcastle United's £115m cash injection gets PIF green light as gloom lifted at Benton - Chronicle Live

    agreement close · near completetone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source
Matty Cash to Newcastle United — 50% likely · TransferSignal