← Board/player transfer · updated 22 Jul 2026
Miguel Rodríguez Vidal
Celta de Vigo → Arsenal
71%Advanced
Probability
71%
Viability
72%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low
Why this score?
Probability65 → 71|Viability67 → 7222 Jul 2026
- ▪An agreement is reported to be close
- ▪Multiple independent sources agree
- ▪This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
Score movement
- 22 Jul 202665 → 71An agreement is reported to be close · Multiple independent sources agree · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
- 22 Jul 2026— → 65An agreement is reported to be close · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+22 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+8 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+8 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability71%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- ST
- Age
- 23
- Nationality
- Spain
- Contract until
- —
- Market value
- —
- Preferred foot
- —
Buying club · Arsenal
- Stated needs
- ST, CF, CDM
- Budget (est.)
- €120m
- Wage headroom
- 65/100
- PSR pressure
- 35/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Arsenal’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 22 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Arsenal make sixth summer signing as Spain keeper Rodriguez joins
- 22 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Arsenal sign Spain goalkeeper Rodriguez on free
- 22 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Misa Rodriguez: Arsenal sign Real Madrid goalkeeper on a free transfer - Sky Sports
- 22 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Arsenal sign goalkeeper Misa Rodriguez after expiration of Real Madrid contract - The New York Times