← Board/contract extension · updated 22 Jul 2026

Alex Scott

Bournemouth Liverpool

16%Speculative
Probability
16%
Viability
60%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low

Why this score?

Probability2916|Viability606021 Jul 2026

  • The player is being pursued by more than one club

Score movement

  1. 21 Jul 20262916The player is being pursued by more than one club
  2. 21 Jul 202629The player is being pursued by more than one club

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+7 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+2 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations22 pts
Probability16%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
CM
Age
22
Nationality
England
Contract until
30 Jun 2028
Market value
€30m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Liverpool

Stated needs
CB, ST
Budget (est.)
€130m
Wage headroom
70/100
PSR pressure
25/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Liverpool’s Possible XI →

Competing for Alex Scott

The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.

Evidence timeline

  1. 21 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Liverpool midfield ‘target’ Alex Scott rejects new contract - This Is Anfield

    interest · early interesttone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source
    • bid rejected
  2. 22 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    What Andoni Iraola said about Alex Scott as Bournemouth star opens door to transfer - Liverpool.com

    interest · early interesttone: speculativevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource
Alex Scott to Liverpool — 16% likely · TransferSignal