TransferSignal

← Board/contract extension · updated 27 Oct 2026

Alex Scott

Bournemouth → Liverpool

60%Active interest
Probability
60%
Viability
55%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low

Why this score?

Probability58 → 60|Viability55 → 5506 Oct 2026

  • ▪A source has denied / contradicted this
  • ▪An agreement is reported to be close
  • ▪Multiple independent sources agree

Score movement

  1. 06 Oct 202658 → 60A source has denied / contradicted this · An agreement is reported to be close · Multiple independent sources agree
  2. 05 Oct 202655 → 58A source has denied / contradicted this · An agreement is reported to be close · Multiple independent sources agree
  3. 05 Oct 202632 → 55A source has denied / contradicted this · An agreement is reported to be close · Multiple independent sources agree
  4. 30 Sept 202622 → 32A source has denied / contradicted this · Multiple independent sources agree
  5. 04 Sept 202622 → 22Window closed with no completed deal on record for this player. Expired, not graded — no completed transfer exists either way, and our data has coverage gaps, so no source's accuracy is moved on an ambiguity.
  6. 09 Aug 202624 → 22A source has denied / contradicted this · Multiple independent sources agree · The player is being pursued by more than one club
  7. 06 Aug 202621 → 24Multiple independent sources agree · The player is being pursued by more than one club
  8. 31 Jul 202616 → 21Multiple independent sources agree · The player is being pursued by more than one club
  9. 21 Jul 202629 → 16The player is being pursued by more than one club
  10. 21 Jul 2026— → 29The player is being pursued by more than one club

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+16 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+7 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+2 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+4 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Contradiction penalty−1 pts
Probability60%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
CM
Age
22
Nationality
England
Contract until
30 Jun 2028
Market value
€50m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Liverpool

Stated needs
CB, ST
Budget (est.)
€130m
Wage headroom
70/100
PSR pressure
25/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Liverpool’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 21 Jul 2026Tier 4This Is Anfieldpolled

    Liverpool midfield ‘target’ Alex Scott rejects new contract

    interest · early interesttone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source
    • — bid rejected
  2. 22 Jul 2026Tier 4Liverpool.compolled

    What Andoni Iraola said about Alex Scott as Bournemouth star opens door to transfer

    interest · early interesttone: speculativevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource
  3. 08 Aug 2026Tier 4Liverpool.compolled

    Liverpool handed Alex Scott backing as Arsenal ruled out of transfer - 'We can find the money'

    interest · early interesttone: assertivevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource
    • — Arsenal ruled out of transfer
    • — Arsenal ruled out of transfer
  4. 26 Aug 2026Tier 4This Is Anfieldpolled

    Alex Scott mooted as Liverpool’s “top target” for midfield role

    interest · early interesttone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source
  5. 26 Aug 2026Tier 4This Is Anfieldpolled

    Alex Scott reported as Liverpool’s “top target” for midfield role

    interest · early interesttone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source
  6. 30 Sept 2026Tier 4This Is Anfieldpolled

    Liverpool’s interest in Alex Scott reiterated as January stance revealed

    interest · early interesttone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source
  7. 30 Sept 2026Tier 4Thisisanfield.compolled

    Liverpool’s interest in Alex Scott reiterated as January stance revealed

    interest · early interesttone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source
  8. 05 Oct 2026Tier 4Uk.sports.yahoo.compolled

    Alex Scott to Liverpool transfer in serious doubt as worrying injury confirmed

    official · officialtone: definitivevia rule-based:v1source
  9. 05 Oct 2026Tier 4Yahoopolled

    Alex Scott to Liverpool transfer in serious doubt as worrying injury confirmed

    official · officialtone: definitivevia rule-based:v1source
  10. 05 Oct 2026Tier 4Liverpool.compolled

    Alex Scott to Liverpool transfer in serious doubt as worrying injury confirmed

    official · officialtone: definitivevia rule-based:v1source
  11. 20 Oct 2026Tier 4FourFourTwopolled

    Alex Scott signs, with right-back and right wing switch-up: Liverpool’s dream January window

    monitoring · speculativetone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source
  12. 27 Oct 2026Tier 4This Is Anfieldpolled

    Liverpool ‘not favourites’ for Alex Scott as new midfield target revealed

    interest · early interesttone: cautiousvia rule-based:v1source