← Board/player transfer · updated 24 Jul 2026
Janina Leitzig
Leicester City → Manchester United
59%Active interest
Probability
59%
Viability
57%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability— → 59|Viability— → 5724 Jul 2026
- ▪An agreement is reported to be close
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 24 Jul 2026— → 59An agreement is reported to be close
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+22 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+6 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability59%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
Player not resolved to a known squad — scored on reporting signals only.
Buying club · Manchester United
- Stated needs
- CDM, ST, CB
- Budget (est.)
- €90m
- Wage headroom
- 45/100
- PSR pressure
- 65/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Manchester United’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 24 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Man Utd bring in Leicester goalkeeper Leitzig