← Board/player transfer · updated 23 Aug 2026· graded confirmed
Crysencio Summerville
West Ham → Al Hilal
100%Done / awaiting official
Probability
100%
Viability
58%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability61 → 100|Viability58 → 5823 Aug 2026
Outcome graded: confirmed. 1 source prediction(s) written to the reliability ledger.
Score movement
- 23 Aug 202661 → 100Outcome graded: confirmed. 1 source prediction(s) written to the reliability ledger.
- 06 Aug 202658 → 61An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported
- 31 Jul 202659 → 58An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported
- 25 Jul 202648 → 59An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported
- 21 Jul 2026— → 48An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · The player is being pursued by more than one club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+24 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+6 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+3 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability61%
Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
Player not resolved to a known squad — scored on reporting signals only.
Buying club · Al Hilal
- Stated needs
- —
- Budget (est.)
- —
- Wage headroom
- —
- PSR pressure
- —
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Al Hilal’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 21 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Al-Hilal agree £68m deal for West Ham's Summerville
- 21 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Al-Hilal agree £60m deal for West Ham's Summerville
- 24 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
West Ham winger Summerville joins Al-Hilal