← Board/player transfer · updated 04 Sept 2026· graded confirmed
Evann Guessand
Aston Villa → Crystal Palace
100%Done / awaiting official
Probability
100%
Viability
57%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability62 → 100|Viability57 → 5704 Sept 2026
Window close: a completed transfer confirms this move. Graded confirmed.
Score movement
- 04 Sept 202662 → 100Window close: a completed transfer confirms this move. Graded confirmed.
- 12 Aug 202653 → 62An agreement is reported to be close
- 11 Aug 2026— → 53Rumour created from first claim
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+24 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+3 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability61%
Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- RW, ST
- Age
- 25
- Nationality
- France
- Contract until
- —
- Market value
- —
- Preferred foot
- —
Buying club · Crystal Palace
- Stated needs
- —
- Budget (est.)
- —
- Wage headroom
- —
- PSR pressure
- —
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Crystal Palace’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 11 Aug 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Crystal Palace in talks to re-sign Guessand on loan
- 12 Aug 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Crystal Palace re-sign Guessand on loan from Villa