← Board/player transfer · updated 09 Sept 2026
Will Hughes
Crystal Palace → Liverpool
59%Active interest
Probability
59%
Viability
61%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low
Why this score?
Probability56 → 59|Viability61 → 6109 Sept 2026
- ▪An agreement is reported to be close
- ▪Multiple independent sources agree
- ▪The player is entering the final window of their contract
Score movement
- 09 Sept 202656 → 59An agreement is reported to be close · Multiple independent sources agree · The player is entering the final window of their contract
- 06 Sept 202637 → 56An agreement is reported to be close · Multiple independent sources agree · The player is entering the final window of their contract
- 04 Sept 202637 → 37Window closed with no completed deal on record for this player. Expired, not graded — no completed transfer exists either way, and our data has coverage gaps, so no source's accuracy is moved on an ambiguity.
- 24 Aug 2026— → 37The player is entering the final window of their contract
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+11 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+7 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability59%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CM, CDM
- Age
- 31
- Nationality
- England
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2027
- Market value
- €5m
- Preferred foot
- left
Buying club · Liverpool
- Stated needs
- CB, ST
- Budget (est.)
- €130m
- Wage headroom
- 70/100
- PSR pressure
- 25/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Liverpool’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 24 Aug 2026Tier 5Anfield Watchpolled
Change the plan, Richard Hughes! Liverpool want the wrong Brighton star
- 05 Sept 2026Tier 4Thisisanfield.compolled
Official: Richard Hughes Leaves Liverpool FC to Join Al-Hilal
- 08 Sept 2026Tier 4AnfieldWatchpolled
Richard Hughes made last-ditch attempt to sign ‘superstar’ midfielder for Liverpool