← Board/player transfer · updated 10 Sept 2026
Mohamed Salah
Trabzonspor → Liverpool
22%Possible
Probability
22%
Viability
73%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low
Why this score?
Probability— → 22|Viability— → 7310 Sept 2026
- ▪This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
- ▪The player is entering the final window of their contract
- ▪The player only joined this club in the current window, so a speculative link away is discounted
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 10 Sept 2026— → 22This fills a stated squad need of the buying club · The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player only joined this club in the current window, so a speculative link away is discounted
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+17 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+1 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+8 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability22%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- RW, ST
- Age
- 33
- Nationality
- Egypt
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2027
- Market value
- €30m
- Preferred foot
- left
Buying club · Liverpool
- Stated needs
- CB, ST
- Budget (est.)
- €130m
- Wage headroom
- 70/100
- PSR pressure
- 25/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Liverpool’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 10 Sept 2026Tier 3Liverpool Echopolled
Liverpool latest: £130m Mo Salah replacement's release clause as chief's return on the cards
- — release clause in play