← Board/player transfer · updated 02 Aug 2026

Andoni Iraola

Liverpool

53%Active interest
Probability
53%
Viability
67%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low

Why this score?

Probability53|Viability6702 Aug 2026

  • An agreement is reported to be close
  • A formal bid has been reported

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 02 Aug 202653An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+17 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+9 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+6 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+8 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability53%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Player not resolved to a known squad — scored on reporting signals only.

Buying club · Liverpool

Stated needs
CB, ST
Budget (est.)
€130m
Wage headroom
70/100
PSR pressure
25/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Liverpool’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 02 Aug 2026Tier 3Liverpool Echopolled

    Andoni Iraola backed to complete £80m Liverpool transfer after Chelsea bid rejected

    agreement close · advancedtone: assertivevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource
Andoni Iraola to Liverpool — 53% likely · TransferSignal