← Board/player transfer · updated 10 Oct 2026
Fabrício Bruno
Cruzeiro E.C. → Newcastle United
22%Possible
Probability
22%
Viability
61%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability— → 22|Viability— → 6110 Oct 2026
- ▪This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 10 Oct 2026— → 22This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+17 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+1 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+6 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability22%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CB
- Age
- 30
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Contract until
- 31 Dec 2030
- Market value
- €12m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Newcastle United
- Stated needs
- RW, CB
- Budget (est.)
- €80m
- Wage headroom
- 50/100
- PSR pressure
- 75/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Newcastle United’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 10 Oct 2026Tier 3Chronicle Livepolled
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