← Board/player transfer · updated 05 Aug 2026
Ben White
Arsenal → Wrexham
34%Possible
Probability
34%
Viability
63%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability— → 34|Viability— → 6305 Aug 2026
- ▪An agreement is reported to be close
- ▪The player's preference is reported to favour the move
- ▪The player is being pursued by more than one club
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 05 Aug 2026— → 34An agreement is reported to be close · The player's preference is reported to favour the move · The player is being pursued by more than one club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+21 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+6 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+6 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations−27 pts
Probability34%
Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- RB, CB
- Age
- 28
- Nationality
- United Kingdom
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2028
- Market value
- €30m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club
Buying club not resolved.
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
Competing for Ben White
The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.
- Wrexham this rumour34%
- Newcastle Unitedofficial25%
Evidence timeline
- 05 Aug 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Wrexham sign Preston captain Whiteman