← Board/player transfer · updated 14 Jul 2026
Archie Gray
Tottenham Hotspur → Newcastle United
28%Possible
Probability
28%
Viability
62%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability— → 28|Viability— → 6214 Jul 2026
- ▪A source has denied / contradicted this
- ▪A formal bid has been reported
- ▪This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 14 Jul 2026— → 28A source has denied / contradicted this · A formal bid has been reported · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+0 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Contradiction penalty−10 pts
Probability28%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CDM, CM, CB, RB
- Age
- 20
- Nationality
- United Kingdom
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2030
- Market value
- €6m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Newcastle United
- Stated needs
- RW, CB
- Budget (est.)
- €80m
- Wage headroom
- 50/100
- PSR pressure
- 75/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Newcastle United’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 01 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Tottenham reject Newcastle bid for Gray as Spurs close in on two record-breaking deals - Football365