← Board/player transfer · updated 20 Oct 2026
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Paris Saint-Germain → Arsenal
69%Advanced
Probability
69%
Viability
65%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
92
expert opinion · best role LW
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability65 → 69|Viability65 → 6520 Oct 2026
- ▪An agreement is reported to be close
- ▪A formal bid has been reported
- ▪Multiple independent sources agree
- ▪This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
Score movement
- 20 Oct 202665 → 69An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · Multiple independent sources agree · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
- 04 Sept 202665 → 65Window closed with no completed deal on record for this player. Expired, not graded — no completed transfer exists either way, and our data has coverage gaps, so no source's accuracy is moved on an ambiguity.
- 04 Sept 202661 → 65An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · Multiple independent sources agree · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
- 04 Sept 202654 → 61An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · Multiple independent sources agree · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
- 23 Aug 2026— → 54A formal bid has been reported · This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+17 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+14 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+6 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability69%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- LW, ST
- Age
- 25
- Nationality
- Georgia
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2029
- Market value
- €140m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Arsenal
- Stated needs
- ST, CF, CDM
- Budget (est.)
- €120m
- Wage headroom
- 65/100
- PSR pressure
- 35/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Arsenal’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 22 Aug 2026Tier 3Football Londonpolled
Arsenal 'make offer' to sign enormous talent likened to Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
- 04 Sept 2026Tier 4London Evening Standardpolled
Who is Andria Bartishvili? Arsenal book medical for 'new Kvaratskhelia'
- 04 Sept 2026Tier 3Evening Standardpolled
Who is Andria Bartishvili? Arsenal book medical for 'new Kvaratskhelia'
- 20 Oct 2026Tier 4FootballTransfers.compolled
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to Arsenal: Arteta receives official transfer verdict