← Board/player transfer · updated 03 Oct 2026
John Victor
Nottingham Forest → Liverpool
66%Advanced
Probability
66%
Viability
62%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low
Why this score?
Probability40 → 66|Viability63 → 6202 Oct 2026
- ▪An agreement is reported to be close
- ▪Multiple independent sources agree
- ▪The player's preference is reported to favour the move
Score movement
- 02 Oct 202640 → 66An agreement is reported to be close · Multiple independent sources agree · The player's preference is reported to favour the move
- 04 Sept 202640 → 40Window closed with no completed deal on record for this player. Expired, not graded — no completed transfer exists either way, and our data has coverage gaps, so no source's accuracy is moved on an ambiguity.
- 18 Aug 202645 → 40Multiple independent sources agree · The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 06 Aug 202642 → 45Multiple independent sources agree
- 05 Aug 202637 → 42Multiple independent sources agree
- 05 Aug 2026— → 37Rumour created from first claim
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+17 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+11 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+7 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+6 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+4 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability66%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- GK
- Age
- 30
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2028
- Market value
- €5m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Liverpool
- Stated needs
- CB, ST
- Budget (est.)
- €130m
- Wage headroom
- 70/100
- PSR pressure
- 25/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Liverpool’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 05 Aug 2026Tier 4Liverpool FCpolled
Victor Munoz interview: 'I join Liverpool full of ambition and am very happy to be here'
- 05 Aug 2026Tier 4Liverpoolfc.compolled
Victor Munoz interview: 'I join Liverpool full of ambition and am very happy to be here'
- 02 Oct 2026Tier 3Liverpool Echopolled
Victor Munoz could get what he wants after 'difficult moments' as official statement released
- 02 Oct 2026Tier 3Liverpool Echopolled
Victor Munoz could get what he wants after 'difficult moments' as official statement released