TransferSignal

← Board/player transfer · updated 24 Jul 2026· graded collapsed

Crysencio Summerville

West Ham → Tottenham Hotspur

0%Speculative
Probability
0%
Viability
61%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability27 → 0|Viability61 → 6124 Jul 2026

Outcome graded: collapsed. 1 source prediction(s) written to the reliability ledger.

Score movement

  1. 24 Jul 202627 → 0Outcome graded: collapsed. 1 source prediction(s) written to the reliability ledger.
  2. 21 Jul 202650 → 27The player is being pursued by more than one club
  3. 04 Jul 2026— → 50Rumour created from first claim

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+22 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+6 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+6 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations−27 pts
Probability23%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Player not resolved to a known squad — scored on reporting signals only.

Buying club · Tottenham Hotspur

Stated needs
CM, CB
Budget (est.)
€110m
Wage headroom
60/100
PSR pressure
30/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Tottenham Hotspur’s Possible XI →

Competing for Crysencio Summerville

The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.

Evidence timeline

  1. 01 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled

    Spurs target West Ham's Summerville - Thursday's gossip

    interest · early interesttone: speculativevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource