← Board/player transfer · updated 04 Sept 2026· graded confirmed
Norberto Bercique Gomes Betuncal
Everton → Aston Villa
100%Done / awaiting official
Probability
100%
Viability
59%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability66 → 100|Viability59 → 5904 Sept 2026
Window close: a completed transfer confirms this move. Graded confirmed.
Score movement
- 04 Sept 202666 → 100Window close: a completed transfer confirms this move. Graded confirmed.
- 06 Aug 202663 → 66An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · Multiple independent sources agree
- 31 Jul 202664 → 63An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · Multiple independent sources agree
- 20 Jul 202659 → 64An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · Multiple independent sources agree
- 20 Jul 2026— → 59An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+24 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+8 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+6 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+3 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability66%
Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- ST
- Age
- 28
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Contract until
- —
- Market value
- —
- Preferred foot
- —
Buying club · Aston Villa
- Stated needs
- CM, LW
- Budget (est.)
- €60m
- Wage headroom
- 40/100
- PSR pressure
- 80/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Aston Villa’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 20 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Villa sign Wolves midfielder Gomes in £38m deal
- 20 Jul 2026Tier 2The Guardianpolled
João Gomes seals £38m Aston Villa move, Hall and Robinson on Manchester United list