← Board/player transfer · updated 24 Jul 2026

Noah Atubolu

SC Freiburg Newcastle United

45%Active interest
Probability
45%
Viability
61%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability45|Viability6124 Jul 2026

  • An agreement is reported to be close
  • The player is entering the final window of their contract

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 24 Jul 202645An agreement is reported to be close · The player is entering the final window of their contract

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+12 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability45%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
GK
Age
24
Nationality
Germany
Contract until
30 Jun 2027
Market value
€20m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Newcastle United

Stated needs
RW, CB
Budget (est.)
€80m
Wage headroom
50/100
PSR pressure
75/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Newcastle United’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 23 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Newcastle United transfer news LIVE - Noah Atubolu truth as fourth signing close - Chronicle Live

    unknown · near completetone: speculativevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource