← Board/player transfer · updated 26 Jul 2026
Granit Xhaka
Sunderland → Chelsea
24%Possible
Probability
24%
Viability
66%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability— → 24|Viability— → 6626 Jul 2026
- ▪A source has denied / contradicted this
- ▪A formal bid has been reported
- ▪The player's preference is reported to favour the move
Score movement
Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.
- 26 Jul 2026— → 24A source has denied / contradicted this · A formal bid has been reported · The player's preference is reported to favour the move
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+19 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+0 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+7 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+6 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Contradiction penalty−22 pts
Probability24%
Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- CDM, CM
- Age
- 33
- Nationality
- Switzerland
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2028
- Market value
- €10m
- Preferred foot
- left
Buying club · Chelsea
- Stated needs
- ST, GK
- Budget (est.)
- €100m
- Wage headroom
- 55/100
- PSR pressure
- 70/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Chelsea’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 26 Jul 2026Tier 2The Guardianpolled
Régis Le Bris says Chelsea’s pursuit of Sunderland captain Xhaka is ‘closed’