← Board/player transfer · updated 04 Sept 2026· graded confirmed

Tarik Muharemović

Sassuolo Calcio → Leeds United

100%Done / awaiting official
Probability
100%
Viability
55%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability60 → 100|Viability55 → 5504 Sept 2026

Window close: a completed transfer confirms this move. Graded confirmed.

Score movement

  1. 04 Sept 202660 → 100Window close: a completed transfer confirms this move. Graded confirmed.
  2. 06 Aug 202658 → 60An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported
  3. 31 Jul 202659 → 58An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported
  4. 19 Jul 2026— → 59An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+24 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability60%

Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
CB
Age
23
Nationality
Slovenia
Contract until
30 Jun 2031
Market value
€25m
Preferred foot
left

Buying club · Leeds United

Stated needs
—
Budget (est.)
—
Wage headroom
—
PSR pressure
—

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Leeds United’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 17 Jul 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled

    Leeds sign £34.1m defender Muharemovic

    official · officialtone: definitivevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource