← Board/player transfer · updated 04 Sept 2026· graded confirmed
Jeremy Toljan
Levante → Manchester City
100%Done / awaiting official
Probability
100%
Viability
69%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Low
Why this score?
Probability61 → 100|Viability69 → 6904 Sept 2026
Window close: a completed transfer confirms this move. Graded confirmed.
Score movement
- 04 Sept 202661 → 100Window close: a completed transfer confirms this move. Graded confirmed.
- 08 Aug 202665 → 61A source has denied / contradicted this · An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · Multiple independent sources agree · The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 06 Aug 202660 → 65A source has denied / contradicted this · An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · Multiple independent sources agree · The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 06 Aug 202655 → 60An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · Multiple independent sources agree · The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 05 Aug 2026— → 55An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+24 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+14 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+8 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Contradiction penalty−10 pts
Probability66%
Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- RB, CB
- Age
- 32
- Nationality
- United States
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2027
- Market value
- €2m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Manchester City
- Stated needs
- CDM, CM
- Budget (est.)
- €150m
- Wage headroom
- 75/100
- PSR pressure
- 45/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Manchester City’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 05 Aug 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
Rejecting Arsenal & emulating Hazard - Monga makes debut in Man City win
- 06 Aug 2026Tier 4Leicester Mercurypolled
Jeremy Monga reveals exactly why he turned down Arsenal transfer for Man City
- — turned down Arsenal transfer
- 06 Aug 2026Tier 4Leicestermercury.co.ukpolled
Jeremy Monga reveals exactly why he turned down Arsenal transfer for Man City
- — turned down Arsenal transfer
- 06 Aug 2026Tier 3Manchester Evening Newspolled
Jeremy Monga transfer plan after picking Man City over Arsenal - 'No-brainer'