← Board/player transfer · updated 04 Sept 2026· graded collapsed
Jeremy Toljan
Levante → Arsenal
0%Speculative
Probability
0%
Viability
65%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability0 → 0|Viability65 → 6504 Sept 2026
Window close: the player completed a move to a different club. Graded collapsed.
Score movement
- 04 Sept 20260 → 0Window close: the player completed a move to a different club. Graded collapsed.
- 06 Aug 202610 → 0A newer, higher-tier report superseded an earlier claim · The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 05 Aug 202637 → 10The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 04 Jul 2026— → 37The player is entering the final window of their contract
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+0 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+0 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+0 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+6 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability22%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- RB, CB
- Age
- 32
- Nationality
- United States
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2027
- Market value
- €2m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Arsenal
- Stated needs
- ST, CF, CDM
- Budget (est.)
- €120m
- Wage headroom
- 65/100
- PSR pressure
- 35/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Arsenal’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 29 Jun 2026Tier 4BBCpolledsuperseded
Arsenal transfer rumours: Jeremy Monga