← Board/player transfer · updated 24 Jul 2026
Antonio Nusa
RB Leipzig → Newcastle United
28%Possible
Probability
28%
Viability
54%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability37 → 28|Viability54 → 5424 Jul 2026
- ▪The player is being pursued by more than one club
Score movement
- 24 Jul 202637 → 28The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 14 Jul 2026— → 37Rumour created from first claim
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+4 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations−9 pts
Probability28%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- LW, ST
- Age
- 21
- Nationality
- Norway
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2029
- Market value
- €32m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Newcastle United
- Stated needs
- RW, CB
- Budget (est.)
- €80m
- Wage headroom
- 50/100
- PSR pressure
- 75/100
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Newcastle United’s Possible XI →Competing for Antonio Nusa
The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.
- Newcastle United this rumour28%
- Tottenham Hotspurearly interest30%
Evidence timeline
- 01 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled
Antonio Nusa sends Newcastle United perfect transfer message that Eddie Howe will love - Chronicle Live