← Board/player transfer · updated 23 Aug 2026· graded confirmed
Ferran Torres
Barcelona → Paris St-Germain
100%Done / awaiting official
Probability
100%
Viability
63%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability46 → 100|Viability63 → 6323 Aug 2026
Outcome graded: confirmed. 1 source prediction(s) written to the reliability ledger.
Score movement
- 23 Aug 202646 → 100Outcome graded: confirmed. 1 source prediction(s) written to the reliability ledger.
- 15 Aug 202641 → 46An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club
- 13 Aug 2026— → 41An agreement is reported to be close · A formal bid has been reported · The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+24 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+14 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+6 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability64%
Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- ST, RW
- Age
- 26
- Nationality
- Spain
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2027
- Market value
- €50m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club
Buying club not resolved.
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
Evidence timeline
- 13 Aug 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
PSG agree deal in principle for Barcelona's Torres
- 15 Aug 2026Tier 2BBC Sportpolled
PSG sign World Cup winner Torres from Barcelona