← Board/player transfer · updated 04 Sept 2026· graded collapsed
Christopher Nkunku
RB Leipzig → Roma
0%Speculative
Probability
0%
Viability
55%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium
Why this score?
Probability43 → 0|Viability55 → 5504 Sept 2026
Window close: the player completed a move to a different club. Graded collapsed.
Score movement
- 04 Sept 202643 → 0Window close: the player completed a move to a different club. Graded collapsed.
- 23 Aug 2026— → 43Rumour created from first claim
How the number is built
Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+6 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Contract situationDerived×0.06
+2 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.00
+0 pts
Probability30%
Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.
Player
- Position
- ST
- Age
- 28
- Nationality
- France
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2030
- Market value
- €25m
- Preferred foot
- right
Buying club · Roma
- Stated needs
- —
- Budget (est.)
- —
- Wage headroom
- —
- PSR pressure
- —
Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.
See Roma’s Possible XI →Evidence timeline
- 22 Aug 2026Tier 4Read Newcastlepolled
Fabrizio Romano confirms Christopher Nkunku’s decision after Newcastle United talks