← Board/player transfer · updated 04 Jul 2026

Dušan Vlahović

Juventus Arsenal

41%Active interest
Probability
41%
Viability
72%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability41|Viability7204 Jul 2026

  • This fills a stated squad need of the buying club
  • The player is entering the final window of their contract

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 04 Jul 202641This fills a stated squad need of the buying club · The player is entering the final window of their contract

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+11 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+1 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+10 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+6 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+4 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Probability41%

Source reliability uses reporter tier only — no source here has the ≥ 10 graded outcomes needed to trust its record yet. Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
ST
Age
26
Nationality
Serbia
Contract until
30 Jun 2026
Market value
€35m
Preferred foot
left

Buying club · Arsenal

Stated needs
ST, CF, CDM
Budget (est.)
€120m
Wage headroom
65/100
PSR pressure
35/100

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Arsenal’s Possible XI →

Evidence timeline

  1. 02 Jul 2026Tier 4Google Newspolled

    Dusan Vlahovic can finally complete Arsenal transfer after snubbing them in 'wrong' decision - Football London

    interest · speculativetone: speculativevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource