← Board/player transfer · updated 31 Jul 2026

Curtis Jones

Liverpool Inter Miami

39%Possible
Probability
39%
Viability
66%
can it happen structurally
Tactical fit
n/a
no expert vector yet
Financial difficulty
Medium

Why this score?

Probability39|Viability6631 Jul 2026

  • A formal bid has been reported
  • The player's preference is reported to favour the move
  • The player is entering the final window of their contract
  • The player is being pursued by more than one club

Score movement

Not enough score events to chart yet — movement appears here as evidence accrues.

  1. 31 Jul 202639A formal bid has been reported · The player's preference is reported to favour the move · The player is entering the final window of their contract · The player is being pursued by more than one club

How the number is built

Source reliabilityEmpirical×0.28
+19 pts
Independent confirmationEmpirical×0.16
+3 pts
Reported deal stageEmpirical×0.14
+6 pts
Buying-club needExpert-assigned×0.12
+5 pts
Financial feasibilityExpert-assigned×0.10
+5 pts
Player opennessExpert-assigned×0.08
+6 pts
Window timingDerived×0.06
+5 pts
Market oddsUnavailable×0.06
+0 pts
Competing destinations12 pts
Probability39%

Source reliability includes the graded ledger (a reporting source has ≥ 10 graded outcomes). Market odds are unavailable in v1, so scores cap below 100.

Player

Position
CM, CAM
Age
25
Nationality
United Kingdom
Contract until
30 Jun 2027
Market value
€40m
Preferred foot
right

Buying club · Inter Miami

Stated needs
Budget (est.)
Wage headroom
PSR pressure

Squad needs and financial profile are expert-assigned, not measured.

See Inter Miami’s Possible XI →

Competing for Curtis Jones

The player is credibly linked to more than one club. These are mutually exclusive outcomes — he can sign for only one — so each probability carries a competing-destinations penalty. They are not normalised to sum to 100.

Evidence timeline

  1. 31 Jul 2026Tier 2The Guardianpolled

    Inter make new approach to Liverpool for Curtis Jones with £30m offer likely

    bid submitted · active talkstone: assertivevia llm:llama-3.3-70b-versatilesource
Curtis Jones to Inter Miami — 39% likely · TransferSignal